Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (15), e2113561119, 2022 | 172 | 2022 |
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Medrxiv, 2021.02. 03.21250974, 2021 | 90 | 2021 |
Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications T McAndrew, N Wattanachit, GC Gibson, NG Reich Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational Statistics 13 (2), e1514, 2021 | 42 | 2021 |
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandmann, ... Elife 12, e81916, 2023 | 41 | 2023 |
Structure, reactivity, and synthetic applications of sodium diisopropylamide RA Woltornist, Y Ma, RF Algera, Y Zhou, Z Zhang, DB Collum Synthesis 52 (10), 1478-1497, 2020 | 28 | 2020 |
Real-time mechanistic bayesian forecasts of covid-19 mortality GC Gibson, NG Reich, D Sheldon medRxiv, 2020 | 19 | 2020 |
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs) K Bi, JL Herrera-Diestra, Y Bai, Z Du, L Wang, G Gibson, M Johnson-Leon, ... Epidemics 42, 100660, 2023 | 14 | 2023 |
Improving probabilistic infectious disease forecasting through coherence GC Gibson, KR Moran, NG Reich, D Osthus PLoS computational biology 17 (1), e1007623, 2021 | 8 | 2021 |
Accuracy of realtime multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the US PLoS Comput Biol 15 NG Reich, CJ McGowan, TK Yamana, A Tushar, EL Ray, D Osthus, ... | 7 | 2019 |
COVID-19 scenario projections: The emergence of Omicron in the US-January 2022 A Bouchnita, SJ Fox, JLHDM Lachmann, GG Herrera-Diestra, LA Meyers The University of Texas COVID-19 Modeling Consortium, 2022 | 6 | 2022 |
Looking for evidence of a high burden of COVID-19 in the United States from influenza-like illness data NG Reich, EL Ray, GC Gibson, E Cramer, CM Rivers Github, 2020 | 5 | 2020 |
Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the US PLOS Computational Biology, 15 (11): e1007486 NG Reich, CJ McGowan, TK Yamana, A Tushar, EL Ray, D Osthus, ... November, 2019 | 5 | 2019 |
European covid-19 forecast hub K Sherratt, H Gruson, H Johnson, R Niehus, B Prasse, F Sandman, ... | 4 | 2022 |
Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the US PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Nov; 15 (11): e1007486. doi: 10.1371/journal. pcbi. 1007486 NG Reich, CJ McGowan, TK Yamana, A Tushar, EL Ray, D Osthus, ... | 4 | |
Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations SM Mathis, AE Webber, TM León, EL Murray, M Sun, LA White, LC Brooks, ... medRxiv, 2023 | 3 | 2023 |
REAL-TIME MECHANISTIC BAYESIAN FORECASTS OF COVID-19 MORTALITY (preprint) GC Gibson, NG Reich, D Sheldon | 3 | 2020 |
Disproportionate impacts of COVID-19 in a large US city SJ Fox, E Javan, R Pasco, GC Gibson, B Betke, JL Herrera-Diestra, ... PLOS Computational Biology 19 (6), e1011149, 2023 | 2 | 2023 |
COVID-19 scenario projections: the emergence of Omicron in the US A Bouchnita, SJ Fox, M Lachmann, G Herrera-Diestra, A Meyers UT Austin COVID-19 Modeling Consortium, 1-16, 2021 | 2 | 2021 |
Chimeric Forecasting: An experiment to leverage human judgment to improve forecasts of infectious disease using simulated surveillance data T McAndrew, GC Gibson, D Braun, A Srivastava, K Brown Epidemics 47, 100756, 2024 | 1 | 2024 |
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021 VK Lopez, EY Cramer, R Pagano, JM Drake, EB O’Dea, M Adee, T Ayer, ... PLoS computational biology 20 (5), e1011200, 2024 | 1 | 2024 |