| Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States EY Cramer, EL Ray, VK Lopez, J Bracher, A Brennen, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (15), e2113561119, 2022 | 173 | 2022 |
| Modeling of future COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, by vaccination rates and nonpharmaceutical intervention scenarios—United States, April–September 2021 RK Borchering, C Viboud, E Howerton, CP Smith, S Truelove, MC Runge, ... Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 70 (19), 719, 2021 | 152 | 2021 |
| Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination S Truelove, CP Smith, M Qin, LC Mullany, RK Borchering, J Lessler, ... Elife 11, e73584, 2022 | 39 | 2022 |
| Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi … RK Borchering, LC Mullany, E Howerton, M Chinazzi, CP Smith, M Qin, ... The Lancet Regional Health–Americas 17, 2023 | 27 | 2023 |
| Context-dependent representation of within-and between-model uncertainty: Aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology E Howerton, MC Runge, TL Bogich, RK Borchering, H Inamine, J Lessler, ... Journal of the Royal Society Interface 20 (198), 20220659, 2023 | 14 | 2023 |
| In-person schooling and associated COVID-19 risk in the United States over spring semester 2021 KE Wiens, CP Smith, E Badillo-Goicoechea, KH Grantz, MK Grabowski, ... Science advances 8 (16), eabm9128, 2022 | 12 | 2022 |
| The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: delivering long-term projections to guide policy SL Loo, E Howerton, L Contamin, CP Smith, RK Borchering, LC Mullany, ... Epidemics 46, 100738, 2024 | 8 | 2024 |
| Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty E Howerton, L Contamin, LC Mullany, M Qin, NG Reich, S Bents, ... Nature communications 14 (1), 7260, 2023 | 7 | 2023 |
| Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. An evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub E Howerton, L Contamin, LC Mullany, MM Qin, NG Reich, SJ Bents, ... medRxiv, 2023.06. 28.23291998, 2023 | 7 | 2023 |
| flepiMoP: the evolution of a flexible infectious disease modeling pipeline during the COVID-19 pandemic JC Lemaitre, SL Loo, J Kaminsky, EC Lee, C McKee, C Smith, S Jung, ... Epidemics, 100753, 2024 | 1 | 2024 |
| Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub S Jung, SL Loo, E Howerton, L Contamin, CP Smith, EC Carcelén, K Yan, ... medRxiv, 2023 | 1 | 2023 |
Justin LesslerProfessor, Department of Epidemiology, UNC Gillings School of Global Public HealthVerified email at unc.edu
