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Andrew J. Black
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Stochastic formulation of ecological models and their applications
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Trends in ecology & evolution 27 (6), 337-345, 2012
2812012
Ecological scaffolding and the evolution of individuality
AJ Black, P Bourrat, PB Rainey
Nature Ecology & Evolution 4 (3), 426-436, 2020
812020
Modelling the impact of COVID-19 in Australia to inform transmission reducing measures and health system preparedness
R Moss, J Wood, D Brown, F Shearer, AJ Black, AC Cheng, JM McCaw, ...
MedRxiv, 2020.04. 07.20056184, 2020
772020
Stochastic amplification in an epidemic model with seasonal forcing
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Journal of Theoretical Biology 267 (1), 85-94, 2010
762010
Stochastic fluctuations in the susceptible-infective-recovered model with distributed infectious periods
AJ Black, AJ McKane, A Nunes, A Parisi
Physical Review E 80 (2), 021922, 2009
622009
Stochasticity in staged models of epidemics: quantifying the dynamics of whooping cough
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Journal of the royal society interface 7 (49), 1219-1227, 2010
592010
Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza
AJ Black, T House, MJ Keeling, JV Ross
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10 (81), 20121019, 2013
462013
Computation of epidemic final size distributions
AJ Black, JV Ross
Journal of theoretical biology 367, 159-165, 2015
442015
Mixing times in evolutionary game dynamics
AJ Black, A Traulsen, T Galla
Physical Review Letters 109 (2), 028101, 2012
392012
Influencing public health policy with data-informed mathematical models of infectious diseases: Recent developments and new challenges
A Alahmadi, S Belet, A Black, D Cromer, JA Flegg, T House, ...
Epidemics 32, 100393, 2020
372020
Characterising pandemic severity and transmissibility from data collected during first few hundred studies
AJ Black, N Geard, JM McCaw, J McVernon, JV Ross
Epidemics 19, 61-73, 2017
372017
WKB calculation of an epidemic outbreak distribution
AJ Black, AJ McKane
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2011
292011
Coronavirus disease model to inform transmission-reducing measures and health system preparedness, Australia
R Moss, J Wood, D Brown, FM Shearer, AJ Black, K Glass, AC Cheng, ...
Emerging infectious diseases 26 (12), 2844, 2020
242020
Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data from the early phase of an epidemic
AJ Black, JV Ross
PLoS One 8 (8), e73420, 2013
202013
The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics
AJ Black, T House, MJ Keeling, JV Ross
Journal of theoretical biology 359, 45-53, 2014
172014
Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreak
JV Ross, AJ Black
Mathematical Medicine and Biology: A Journal of the IMA 32 (3), 331-343, 2015
152015
Assessing the risk of spread of COVID-19 to the Asia Pacificregion
FM Shearer, J Walker, N Tellioglu, JM McCaw, J McVernon, A Black, ...
medRxiv, 2020.04. 09.20057257, 2020
142020
Importance sampling for partially observed temporal epidemic models
AJ Black
Statistics and Computing 29 (4), 617-630, 2019
132019
The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities
AWC Yan, AJ Black, JM McCaw, N Rebuli, JV Ross, AJ Swan, RI Hickson
Mathematical Biosciences 303, 139-147, 2018
112018
Inference of epidemiological parameters from household stratified data
JN Walker, JV Ross, AJ Black
Plos one 12 (10), e0185910, 2017
112017
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Articles 1–20